Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,373$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(133 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22,810.7}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 113.6)}}\) (asimptote \(22,810.7\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(0.602 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41.8}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 51.5)}}\) (asimptote \(41.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,079$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $55,421$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(468 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{836,063.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 133.3)}}\) (asimptote \(836,063.5\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,210$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,295.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 110.8)}}\) (asimptote \(17,295.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,706$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,390$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(77.1 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,297.7}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 85.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,297.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $96$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(10.1 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{137.5}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 68.2)}}\) (asimptote \(137.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,729$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,484$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(980 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,190.7}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.7)}}\) (asimptote \(12,190.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $732$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(150 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{660.0}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 33.6)}}\) (asimptote \(660.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,678$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,283$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(0.612 \times 10^{0.045t}\) (doubling rate \(6.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,976.7}{1 + 10^{-0.068 (t - 71.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,976.7\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $71$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(0.0147 \times 10^{0.051t}\) (doubling rate \(5.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{148.1}{1 + 10^{-0.067 (t - 73.7)}}\) (asimptote \(148.1\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,070$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $38,284$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(541 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{236,837.7}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 120.3)}}\) (asimptote \(236,837.7\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,342$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(85.9 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,110.2}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 88.5)}}\) (asimptote \(3,110.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $26,653$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,375$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(61.7 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,697.0}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,697.0\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $22$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(0.832 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{29.8}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 68.0)}}\) (asimptote \(29.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,375$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-04-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,582$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(476 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,454.4}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 37.2)}}\) (asimptote \(7,454.4\))
Start date 2020-04-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $401$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(13.8 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{730.3}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 54.9)}}\) (asimptote \(730.3\))
Start date 2020-04-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,979$ on 2020-06-10